Minimizing Global Catastrophic and Existential Risks from Emerging Technologies Through International Law

by

27 November 2012

Mankind is rapidly developing “emerging technologies” in the fields of bioengineering, nanotechnology, and artificial intelligence that have the potential to solve humanity’s biggest problems, such as curing all disease, extending human life, or mitigating massive environmental problems like climate change. However, if these emerging technologies are misused or have an unintended negative effect, the consequences could be enormous, potentially resulting in serious, global damage to humans (known as “global catastrophic harm”) or severe, permanent damage to the Earth—including, possibly, human extinction (known as “existential harm”). The chances of a global catastrophic risk or existential risk actually materializing are relatively low, but mankind should be careful when a losing gamble means massive human death and irreversible harm to the planet. While international law has become an important source of global regulation for other global risks like climate change and biodiversity loss, emerging technologies do not fall neatly within existing international regimes, and thus any country is more or less free to develop these potentially dangerous technologies without practical safeguards that would curtail the risk of a catastrophic event. In light of these problems, this paper serves to discuss the risks associated with bioengineering, nanotechnology, and artificial intelligence; review the potential of existing international law to regulate these emerging technologies; and propose an international regulatory regime that would put the international world in charge of ensuring that low-probability, high-risk disasters never materialize.

Academic citation:
Grant S. Wilson, 2013. Minimizing global catastrophic and existential risks from emerging technologies through international law. Virginia Environmental Law Journal, vol. 31, no. 2, pages 307-364.

Download Preprint PDFView on JSTOR

Image credit: Patrick Gruban


This blog post was published on 28 July 2020 as part of a website overhaul and backdated to reflect the time of the publication of the work referenced here.

Recent Publications from GCRI

Democratic Participation and Global Catastrophic Risk

Democratic Participation and Global Catastrophic Risk

Parsing AI Risk in Early 2025

Parsing AI Risk in Early 2025

Advance World Peace to Address Global Catastrophic Risk?

Advance World Peace to Address Global Catastrophic Risk?

Recent Publications from GCRI

Democratic Participation and Global Catastrophic Risk

Democratic Participation and Global Catastrophic Risk

Parsing AI Risk in Early 2025

Parsing AI Risk in Early 2025

Advance World Peace to Address Global Catastrophic Risk?

Advance World Peace to Address Global Catastrophic Risk?

Recent Publications from GCRI

Democratic Participation and Global Catastrophic Risk

Democratic Participation and Global Catastrophic Risk

The issue of democratic backsliding has gotten extensive attention in recent years. That is the issue of countries becoming less democratic than they previously were. Often, it is discussed in terms of governments becoming more authoritarian. That is undoubtedly very...

Parsing AI Risk in Early 2025

Parsing AI Risk in Early 2025

Depending on who you ask, the AI industry is either on track to render humans obsolete within the next few years or about to go bust, or maybe somewhere in between. This matter is among the most important questions right now, not just for global catastrophic risk but...

Advance World Peace to Address Global Catastrophic Risk?

Advance World Peace to Address Global Catastrophic Risk?

It may seem ridiculous to entertain the idea of world peace at this time. With major active wars in Ukraine, the Middle East, Myanmar, and multiple locations in Africa, plus smaller conflicts and tense relations between many countries and subnational factions, this is...

Democratic Participation and Global Catastrophic Risk

Democratic Participation and Global Catastrophic Risk

Parsing AI Risk in Early 2025

Parsing AI Risk in Early 2025

Advance World Peace to Address Global Catastrophic Risk?

Advance World Peace to Address Global Catastrophic Risk?

The Nuclear War Scenarios that Lurk Ahead in Ukraine

The Nuclear War Scenarios that Lurk Ahead in Ukraine